WWIN40 DEMS 111200 COR
IWB (EVENING) DATED 11-05-2021

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:

A LOW PRESSURE AREA IS VERY LIKELY TO FROM OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN
SEA AROUND 14TH MAY MORNING. IT IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE
NORTHNORTHWESTWARDS ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA AND ADJOINING
LAKSHADWEEP AREA AND INTENSIFY GRADUALLY. IT MAY INTENSIFY INTO A
CYCLONIC STORM OVER EAST CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA AROUND 16TH MAY AND
CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARDS. THE REMNANTS OF THE WESTERN
DISTURBANCE AS A TROUGH NOW RUNS ROUGHLY ALONG LONGITUDE 89OE TO THE
NORTH OF LATITUDE 23ON BETWEEN 3.1 KM -5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.
THE OTHER WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A TROUGH IN MID & UPPER TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL NOW RUNS
ROUGHLY ALONG LONGITUDE 70OE TO THE NORTH OF LATITUDE 28ON. THE
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTH PAKISTAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD BETWEEN 3.1
KM & 4.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
OVER VIDARBHA & NEIGHBOURHOOD EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL PERSISTS. THE NORTH-SOUTH TROUGH/WIND DISCONTINUITY FROM THE
ABOVE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER VIDARBHA & NEIGHBOURHOOD UPTO NORTH
KERALA COAST ACROSS MARATHAWADA AND INTERIOR KARNATAKA AT 0.9 KM
ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER CENTRAL
PAKISTAN AND ADJOINING WEST RAJASTHAN EXTENDING UPTO 2.1 KM ABOVE
MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. THE EAST-WEST TROUGH FROM THE ABOVE
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER CENTRAL PAKISTAN AND ADJOINING WEST
RAJASTHAN TO WEST ASSAM AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL ACROSS NORTH
RAJASTHAN, HARYANA, CENTRAL PARTS OF UTTAR PRADESH PRADESH, BIHAR AND SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL PERSISTS. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER
COMORIN AREA & ADJOINING SOUTH TAMILNADU EXTENDING BETWEEN 1.5 TO 3.1
KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

FORECAST:

RAIN/THUNDERSHOWERS AT MOST PLACES OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL &
SIKKIM, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, UTTRAKHAND, HIMACHAL PRADESH, JAMMU &
KASHMIR, LADAKH, GILGIT-BALTISTAN & MUZAFFARABAD AND LAKSHADWEEP; AT
MANY PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM &
TRIPURA, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, ODISHA, BIHAR, HARYANA, CHANDIGARH &
DELHI, PUNJAB, COASTAL KARNATAKA, SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA, KERALA &
MAHE; AT A FEW PLACES OVER JHARKHAND, UTTAR PRADESH, EAST MADHYA
PRADESH, CHHATTISGARH, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM AND NORTH
INTERIOR KARNATAKA AND AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR
ISLANDS, RAJASTHAN, WEST MADHYA PRADESH, MAHARASHTRA, TELANGANA,
RAYALSEEMA AND TAMILNADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL(.)

DRY OVER REST OF THE PARTS(.)

WARNING:-

11 MAY (DAY 1): THUNDERSTORM WITH LIGHTNING, HAIL & GUSTY WINDS
(SPEED REACHING 30-40 KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU
& KASHMIR, LADAKH, GILGIT-BALTISTAN & MUZAFFARABAD, HIMACHAL PRADESH, UTTARAKHAND, CHHATTISGARH AND TELANGANA; WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS
(SPEED REACHING 40-50 KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER BIHAR
, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL AND ODISHA; WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WIND (SPEED
REACHING 30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER PUNJAB, HARYANA,
CHANDIGARH & DELHI, MADHYA PRADESH, VIDARBHA, JHARKHAND, SUB-
HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR,
MIZORAM & TRIPURA, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, RAYALASEEMA,
COASTAL & SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA AND KERALA & MAHE; WITH LIGHTNING
AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER UTTAR PRADESH, ARUNACHAL PRADESH, MADHYA
MAHARASHTRA, MARATHWADA, NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA, TAMIL NADU,
PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND LAKSHADWEEP. THUNDERSTORM/DUSTSTORM (SPEED
REACHING 40-50 KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER RAJASTHAN.
HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER WEST BENGAL &
SIKKIM, ODISHA, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM &
TRIPURA, COASTAL & SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY &
KARAIKAL AND KERALA & MAHE. SQUALLY WEATHER (WIND SPEED REACHING
40-50 KMPH) VERY LIKELY OVER SOUTHWEST AND ADJOINING SOUTHEAST
ARABIAN SEA AND ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIA OCEAN, MALDIVES, COMORIN
AND LAKSHADWEEP AREA. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE
AREAS.



12 MAY (DAY 2): THUNDERSTORM WITH LIGHTNING, HAIL & SQUALL (SPEED
REACHING 50-60 KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER PUNJAB,
HARYANA, CHANDIGARH & DELHI; WITH LIGHTNING, HAIL & GUSTY WINDS
(SPEED REACHING 30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU & KASHMIR,
LADAKH, GILGIT-BALTISTAN & MUZAFFARABAD, HIMACHAL PRADESH,
UTTARAKHAND AND TELANGANA; WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WIND (SPEED
REACHING 30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER UTTAR PRADESH,
CHHATTISGARH, BIHAR, JHARKHAND, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, ODISHA AND
KERALA & MAHE; WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER MADHYA PRADESH,
VIDARBHA, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA,
COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, RAYALASEEMA, KARNATAKA, TAMIL NADU,
PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND LAKSHADWEEP. THUNDERSTORM/DUSTSTORM (SPEED
REACHING 40-50 KMPH) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER RAJASTHAN.
HEAVY RAINFALL VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU & KASHMIR,
LADAKH, GILGIT-BALTISTAN & MUZAFFARABAD, HIMACHAL PRADESH,
UTTARAKHAND, WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, COASTAL & SOUTH
INTERIOR KARNATAKA AND KERALA & MAHE. SQUALLY WEATHER (WIND SPEED
REACHING 40-50 KMPH) VERY LIKELY OVER SOUTHWEST AND ADJOINING
SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA AND ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIA OCEAN, MALDIVES,
COMORIN AND LAKSHADWEEP AREA. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE
INTO THESE AREAS.
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)