• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0225

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Friday, March 22, 2019 23:34:10
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    ACUS11 KWNS 222234
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 222233
    TXZ000-OKZ000-NMZ000-230000-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0225
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0533 PM CDT Fri Mar 22 2019

    Areas affected...TX Panhandle

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 30...

    Valid 222233Z - 230000Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 30
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Strong/severe thunderstorms will spread across portions of
    the TX Panhandle this evening. Large hail and damaging winds remain
    the primary threats.

    DISCUSSION...Leading edge of large-scale forcing for ascent is
    spreading across northeast NM into the TX Panhandle. In response to
    this forcing, convection has gradually increased in areal extent and
    intensity from the northern TX Panhandle, southwest into Deaf Smith
    county. This activity appears to be evolving into a small MCS that
    should propagate east across the TX Panhandle as LLJ increases then
    veers toward western OK. While isolated supercells have been the
    predominate mode early, forcing should encourage storm mergers that
    will lead to a squall line over the next few hours. Wind/hail are
    the primary threats as this complex matures and shifts east.

    ..Darrow.. 03/22/2019

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...ABQ...

    LAT...LON 34510313 35550280 36510174 35880100 34330235 34510313



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