• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0164

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Saturday, March 09, 2019 09:07:05
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    ACUS11 KWNS 090807
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 090806
    TXZ000-091000-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0164
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0206 AM CST Sat Mar 09 2019

    Areas affected...Portions of the Texas Panhandle

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

    Valid 090806Z - 091000Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

    SUMMARY...A shallow convective line, with a history of severe wind
    gusts, is expected to maintain intensity for a couple more hours,
    before moving into a region of increasing low-level inhibition.

    DISCUSSION...Current KAMA NEXRAD radar indicates a relatively
    low-topped squall line propagating east across the central Texas
    Panhandle at approximately 50 knots. Multiple ASOS/west Texas
    Mesonet stations have reported gusts over 50 knots for at least the
    past hour, amidst a thermodynamic environment characterized by
    250-500 J/kg MUCAPE and minimal inhibition in the lowest 100 mb (per
    07Z RAP forecast soundings). As such, at least a few more damaging
    wind gusts are expected across the remainder of the discussion area,
    until the convective line approaches the Oklahoma border, where
    increasing low-level stability will inhibit the downward mixing of
    stronger flow aloft to the surface.

    ..Squitieri.. 03/09/2019

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...

    LAT...LON 33230292 34550168 35780048 35690014 35350005 34220010
    33170137 33230292



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