1. Forum
  2. Fidonet Message
  3. WEATHER

  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0152

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sunday, March 03, 2019 22:28:55
    This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

    ------------=_1551648538-1983-10988
    Content-Type: text/plain

    ACUS11 KWNS 032128
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 032128
    SCZ000-GAZ000-032230-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0152
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0328 PM CST Sun Mar 03 2019

    Areas affected...central GA into a small part of southern SC

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 8...9...

    Valid 032128Z - 032230Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 8, 9 continues.

    SUMMARY...Significant tornado potential appears greatest in the
    vicinity of the warm frontal zone across central GA during the next
    2-3 hours. The tornado risk will likely increase near the GA/SC
    border coincident with the intense supercells over central GA moving
    into the Savannah River Valley.

    DISCUSSION...Radar mosaic shows numerous warm sector supercells
    across southern and central GA. Surface analysis indicates a 1006mb
    low near Columbus, GA with a nearly stationary warm frontal zone
    extending east from the low to 15 mi south of Augusta. Tornado
    potential appears to maximize in central GA with the ongoing mature
    supercells with experimental tornado guidance (conditional on a
    tornado) indicating damage intensities associated with likely wind
    speeds in the 80-140mph range with the storm moving from Taylor into
    Macon County as of 2125z.

    Farther east over east-central GA into adjacent portions of SC,
    model guidance shows a substantial strengthening of flow in the
    850-700mb layer between 4pm EST and 7pm EST over the eastern GA/SC
    region. Coincident with the strengthening flow fields will be the
    supercell activity moving into the region from the west. As such,
    the risk for tornadoes will accompany this activity in the warm
    sector ahead of the surface low expected to develop to near Augusta
    by 7pm EST.

    ..Smith.. 03/03/2019

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...FFC...

    LAT...LON 32888442 33418185 33298146 32978134 32668155 32308429
    32528460 32888442



    ------------=_1551648538-1983-10988
    Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII"
    Content-Disposition: inline
    Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT

    = = =
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. ------------=_1551648538-1983-10988--

    --- SBBSecho 3.06-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)