• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0107

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Monday, February 18, 2019 08:27:53
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    ACUS11 KWNS 180727
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 180727
    RIZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-181130-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0107
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0127 AM CST Mon Feb 18 2019

    Areas affected...Northern NJ...Lower Hudson Valley...Long
    Island...Much of CT

    Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation

    Valid 180727Z - 181130Z

    SUMMARY...Mixed winter precipitation is expected to continue from
    northern NJ across the Lower Hudson Valley and into CT for the next
    few hours.

    DISCUSSION...Recent regional radar imagery has shown a modest
    increase in precipitation intensity across the region. Observations
    continue to show a transition zone from rain to freezing rain to
    snow extending from northern NJ across the Lower Hudson Valley and
    into eastern CT. Expectation is for light to moderate precipitation
    to persist across this region for the next few hours as
    southwesterly flow aloft continues to support warm-air advection.

    Those areas currently experiencing rain (i.e. Long Island) and
    freezing rain (i.e. northern NJ and Lower Hudson Valley) will likely
    continue to experience those precipitation types as surface
    temperatures remain steady and low to mid-level temperatures
    increase slightly. Areas experiencing snow will likely see a
    transition towards more mixed precipitation as mid-level
    temperatures continue to gradually warm but surface temperatures
    remain unchanged. Freezing rain rates around 0.02"-0.05" per hour
    are possible.

    ..Mosier.. 02/18/2019

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...

    LAT...LON 41647416 41747379 41827331 41887250 41757201 41597176
    41357168 41047203 40677327 40587404 40567444 40587468
    40647490 40797508 41057502 41267483 41647416



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