This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

------------=_1526019254-23415-7023
Content-Type: text/plain

ACUS11 KWNS 110614
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110613
NEZ000-110745-

Mesoscale Discussion 0385
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0113 AM CDT Fri May 11 2018

Areas affected...Southeast NE

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

Valid 110613Z - 110745Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Trends are being monitored for a possible downstream watch
over portions of southeastern NE.

DISCUSSION...Organized MCS continues to progress across at around
35-40 kt. Severe wind gusts have been measured over the past hours,
the strongest of which was 78 mph in Kearney country. Strong to
severe winds gusts are expected to continue for at least the next
hour or so as the MCS approaches the edge of Severe Thunderstorm
Watch 81. Echo tops have decreased slightly over the past 15 mins
and the overall thermodynamic environment does not appear favorable
for continued persistence of the current MCS intensity. KUEX radar
imagery also clearly shows the outflow out ahead of the stronger
convection. That being said, the well-organized nature of the system
coupled with continued warm-air advection across the frontal zone
draped across region may compensate for the marginal thermodynamics. Additionally, stationary front across the region will likely enhance
the potential for strong to severe gusts in its vicinity. Trends
will be monitored closely over the next hour and a downstream watch
may be needed over portions of southeastern NE if severe gusts
persist.

..Mosier/Edwards.. 05/11/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OAX...GID...

LAT...LON 40969735 41219737 41399714 41489681 41479654 41409624
41149602 40659589 40349586 40059627 40139723 40399739
40969735



------------=_1526019254-23415-7023
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII"
Content-Disposition: inline
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. ------------=_1526019254-23415-7023--

--- SBBSecho 3.03-Linux
* Origin: CCO BBS - capitolcityonline.net:26 (1:2320/105)

This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

------------=_1555577537-1967-458
Content-Type: text/plain

ACUS11 KWNS 180852
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 180851
LAZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-181045-

Mesoscale Discussion 0385
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0351 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

Areas affected...east Texas...southwestern and south-central
Arkansas...western and central Louisiana

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 81...

Valid 180851Z - 181045Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 81
continues.

SUMMARY...Local severe risk -- predominantly comprised of
strong/damaging wind gusts -- continues across portions of WW 81.

DISCUSSION...The latest radar loop over the Arklatex/Sabine River
Valley region shows a line of storms -- with embedded complex
structures -- moving across east Texas toward the river. The line
itself is advancing eastward at roughly 30 kt, while individual
bowing elements within the line are moving northeastward with a more
rapid forward motion (near 40 kt). One such bowing segment --
crossing the Rusk County Texas vicinity -- appears to be producing
wind gusts near 40 kt. per recent obs from KTYR (Tyler, TX).

Storms should maintain intensity over the short term, especially
farther to the south where the instability axis appears broader, per
latest objective analyses. Farther north along the line however,
into the Arklatex region, a NNW-SSE instability gradient exists,
which suggests overall/gradual weakening of the line as it shifts
east with time. Still, we will continue to monitor the
environmental and convective evolution, with an eye toward possible
downstream WW issuance as convection begins to approach the eastern
edge of the current WW.

..Goss.. 04/18/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...LCH...SHV...HGX...

LAT...LON 33869377 33989325 34029205 33169190 30909252 30339385
30099549 31809466 32519494 33869377



------------=_1555577537-1967-458
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII"
Content-Disposition: inline
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. ------------=_1555577537-1967-458--

--- SBBSecho 3.06-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)