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ACUS11 KWNS 102320
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102320
NCZ000-VAZ000-SCZ000-110015-

Mesoscale Discussion 0380
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0620 PM CDT Thu May 10 2018

Areas affected...Carolinas/Southeast VA

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 80...

Valid 102320Z - 110015Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 80
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe threat will gradually wane over the next few hours.

DISCUSSION...Loosely organized squall line is progressing
east-southeast across ww80 at roughly 20kt. Overall trends with this
activity are down with mostly sub-severe hail and gusty winds along
the leading edge of convection. With loss of daytime heating it
appears severe threat will continue to decrease.

..Darrow.. 05/10/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...RNK...CAE...GSP...

LAT...LON 35538167 36757739 35597738 34398167 35538167



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ACUS11 KWNS 180408
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 180407
MOZ000-KSZ000-OKZ000-180530-

Mesoscale Discussion 0380
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1107 PM CDT Wed Apr 17 2019

Areas affected...far southeast KS into southwest MO

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely

Valid 180407Z - 180530Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...Damaging winds will be possible with storms tracking into
southeast KS and southwest MO over the next several hours. A severe thunderstorm watch will likely be needed soon.

DISCUSSION...An intense bow echo moving into northeast OK as of 04z
is tracking toward the east/northeast at around 40-45 kt. The bow
has produced widespread severe wind gusts near 55-70 mph over the
last couple of hours. VWPs from INX and SGF show favorable vertical
wind profiles for maintaining strong to severe organized convection
and a moist and moderately unstable downstream airmass persists well
into southwest MO. A rear inflow jet appears to well established
with the bow echo as well based on radar trends over the last 1-2
hours. It appears likely that damaging winds associated with this
bow echo should persist northeastward into southeast KS and adjacent
parts of southwest MO.

Additional severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds are also
ongoing along a cold front from east-central KS into northeast MO
just south of the Kansas City metro area. With these two areas of
concern expected to persist the next several hours, a new watch is
expected soon across the MCD area.

..Leitman/Hart.. 04/18/2019

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TSA...ICT...

LAT...LON 37919499 38369458 38729392 38899336 38759290 38319265
37709286 37239306 36919353 36789405 36879454 37009486
37339510 37919499



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