• Michael Final Advisory

    From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Friday, October 12, 2018 07:43:43
    338
    WTNT34 KNHC 120847
    TCPAT4BULLETIN
    Post-Tropical Cyclone Michael Advisory Number 23
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142018
    500 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018...MICHAEL BECOMES A STORM-FORCE POST-TROPICAL
    LOW AS
    IT MOVES
    AWAY FROM THE UNITED STATES...
    ...ALL TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AND WATCHES DISCONTINUED...
    SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...38.0N 73.1W
    ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM ENE OF NORFOLK VIRGINIA
    ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM SW OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:All coastal tropical cyclone warnings and
    watches are
    discontinued.SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
    Michael was located near latitude 38.0 North, longitude 73.1 West.
    The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east-northeast near
    29 mph (46 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue with an
    increase in forward speed during the next couple of days. On the
    forecast track, the center of Michael will move away from the
    United States today and move rapidly across the open Atlantic Ocean
    tonight through Sunday.Maximum sustained winds have increased near 65 mph
    (100
    km/h) with
    higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is expected today and
    tonight as the post-tropical cyclone moves across the Atlantic.Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles (445 km) from the center. NOAA buoy 44014 recently reported sustained winds
    of 58 mph (94 km/h) and a wind gust of 72 mph (115 km/h).The estimated
    minimum
    central pressure is 983 mb (29.03 inches).
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    STORM SURGE: Storm surge flooding along the North Carolina coast,
    including the Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds, should diminish today.WIND:
    Gale
    winds may continue for a few more hours over portions of
    southeastern Virginia, the southern Chesapeake Bay, and the Delmarva Peninsula.RAINFALL: Michael is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches of rain
    from
    New Jersey to Long Island to Cape Cod, and 3 to 5 inches over
    Nantucket and Martha's Vineyard through this afternoon. This
    rainfall could lead to flash flooding. Elsewhere, flooding and
    flash flooding may continue where Michael produced heavy rain very
    recently in the Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic states.Rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches are expected across the coastal
    northern Mid-Atlantic and southern New England.
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
    Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
    found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
    under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available
    on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.
    Additional information on the remaining impacts over the United
    States can be found in products issued by local National Weather
    Service forecast offices.$$
    Forecaster Beven
    --- SBBSecho 3.06-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)