• FORECAST: Tropical Depres

    From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to ALL on Sunday, September 16, 2018 09:08:00
    031
    WTNT21 KNHC 160852 CCA
    TCMAT1

    TROPICAL DEPRESSION FLORENCE
    FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 68...CORRECTED
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062018
    0900 UTC SUN SEP 16 2018

    CORRECTED CENTRAL PRESSURE TO 1000 MB

    CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO
    SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA IS DISCONTINUED.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

    INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN AND MID-ATLANTIC STATES SHOULD MONITOR
    THE PROGRESS OF FLORENCE DUE TO THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT.

    TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 81.4W AT 16/0900Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
    12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 81.4W AT 16/0900Z
    AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.7N 81.0W

    FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 34.7N 82.5W...INLAND
    MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 36.7N 83.6W...INLAND
    MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 38.7N 82.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 39.8N 79.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 42.0N 68.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

    OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 43.5N 55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

    OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 46.0N 40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.8N 81.4W

    THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER ON FLORENCE. FUTURE INFORMATION ON FLORENCE CAN BE FOUND IN
    PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER BEGINNING
    AT 1500 UTC, UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT1, WMO HEADER WTNT31 KWNH, AND
    ON THE WEB AT HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV.

    $$
    FORECASTER PASCH


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