1. Forum
  2. Fidonet Message
  3. WEATHER

  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1411

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sunday, September 02, 2018 19:24:49
    This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

    ------------=_1535916291-46358-1392
    Content-Type: text/plain

    ACUS11 KWNS 021924
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 021924
    IAZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-022130-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1411
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0224 PM CDT Sun Sep 02 2018

    Areas affected...Northern Missouri...South-central into eastern Iowa

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

    Valid 021924Z - 022130Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...A few storms may become organized and pose a threat for
    marginally severe hail as well as a convective wind gust or two. The
    multicell storm mode should limit overall storm
    intensity/organization spatially. A WW is not expected.

    DISCUSSION...Two clusters of thunderstorms have developed in
    northwest Missouri and northeast Iowa. With ascent continuing to
    overspread the area from a shortwave trough to the southwest, this
    activity should persist/increase over the next few hours. Effective
    shear ranges from 30 kts over northern Missouri to around 40 kts in northeastern Iowa. With 1000 to perhaps 2000 J/kg of MLCAPE, a few
    storms may become organized enough to pose a risk for marginally
    severe hail and convective downbursts. Given current multicell storm
    mode on mosaic radar imagery, overall storm organization will likely
    remain limited. A WW is not expected.

    ..Wendt/Guyer.. 09/02/2018

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...DVN...ARX...DMX...EAX...OAX...

    LAT...LON 40889589 42499371 43349225 43399156 42959118 42529111
    41489141 40569217 39869388 39789454 39949507 40059529
    40089573 40179606 40889589



    ------------=_1535916291-46358-1392
    Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII"
    Content-Disposition: inline
    Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT

    = = =
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. ------------=_1535916291-46358-1392--

    --- SBBSecho 3.06-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)