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ACUS11 KWNS 252309
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 252308
COZ000-NEZ000-WYZ000-260115-
Mesoscale Discussion 1158
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0608 PM CDT Wed Jul 25 2018
Areas affected...portions of southeast Wyoming into the Colorado
Front Range vicinity
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 307...
Valid 252308Z - 260115Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 307
continues.
SUMMARY...Risk for a few stronger storms capable of producing large
hail and or locally damaging winds continues.
DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows convection spreading ease
across southeast Wyoming and northeast Colorado south to the Palmer
Ridge vicinity, and then on south into northeast New Mexico. The
storms have generally weakened as they progress east of the Front
Range initiation zone, in part due to a corridor of weaker
instability. While a new storm or two may develop near the front
range in the wake of the initial storms/cloud cover shifting
gradually eastward, risk in the wake of the earlier storms should
remain isolated at best.
Meanwhile, the strongest convection remains near the southeast Wyoming/northeast Colorado/Nebraska Panhandle border, including a
marginally severe cell over Weld County Colorado. As the storms
continue east-southeastward, some weakening is expected due to a
less favorable airmass. Overall, remaining risk across the watch
area should remain limited/isolated the remainder of the evening.
..Goss.. 07/25/2018
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...CYS...RIW...GJT...
LAT...LON 38450523 38850610 41690670 42320720 42680671 42370509
40440318 38980374 38040459 38450523
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