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ACUS11 KWNS 221627
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221627
FLZ000-ALZ000-221730-
Mesoscale Discussion 1133
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1127 AM CDT Sun Jul 22 2018
Areas affected...Southern AL...Western FL Panhandle
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 303...
Valid 221627Z - 221730Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 303
continues.
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms developing over southern Alabama will likely
intensify and become a severe threat in the next 1-2 hours. A new
watch or areal extension of WW 303 will be likely.
DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms are intensifying over southwest AL,
between Meridian MS and Selma AL. These storms are ahead of a mid
level speed maxima rotating southward across northwest MS. Storms
are expected to increase in coverage through the early afternoon and
spread across southern AL and into the FL Panhandle. Forecast
soundings show steep low-level lapse rates and rather strong flow
just above the boundary-layer. This should be supportive of locally
damaging wind gusts. Also, favorable cape and effective shear
values suggest some risk of hail in the strongest cores.
A new severe thunderstorm watch or an areal extension of WW303 will
likely be required soon into southern AL and the western FL
Peninsula.
..Hart.. 07/22/2018
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...
LAT...LON 32198771 31628568 31048502 30048515 29808609 30338708
30708765 31398803 32198771
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