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ACUS11 KWNS 190853
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 190852
MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-IAZ000-190945-

Mesoscale Discussion 1081
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0352 AM CDT Thu Jul 19 2018

Areas affected...Southeast NE...Northeast KS...Far Northwest MO

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 282...

Valid 190852Z - 190945Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 282
continues.

SUMMARY...Hail and strong to severe wind gusts remain possible with
the thunderstorm cluster moving through southeast NE into far
northeast KS.

DISCUSSION...Convective cluster, anchored by a strong updraft along
its western periphery, continues to move through southeast NE.
Updraft intensity has largely remained steady over the past hour or
so. Given that the downstream airmass is moist and unstable, the
relatively steady-state trend is expected to continue for at least
the next hour. Most recent radar imagery suggests a turn from a
predominately southeasterly motion to more of a south-southeasterly
motion (into the slightly higher instability) may be occurring
presently. Hail and strong to severe wind gusts remain possible with
this cluster.

..Mosier.. 07/19/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...

LAT...LON 39549731 40119733 40539684 40659615 40629562 40289506
39509491 38769601 39009684 39549731



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