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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1063

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, July 17, 2018 05:37:33
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    ACUS11 KWNS 170537
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 170536
    KSZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-170730-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1063
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1236 AM CDT Tue Jul 17 2018

    Areas affected...Far Northeast CO...Southwest NE...Far Northwest KS

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

    Valid 170536Z - 170730Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

    SUMMARY...Threat for severe wind gusts will likely persist for at
    least the next hour or two, perhaps longer. Convective trends are
    being monitored closely for potential watch issuance.

    DISCUSSION...Convective line moving southeastward through the NE
    Panhandle during the past few hours has shown an increase in forward progression during the past hour or so. This increase in forward
    speed is largely a result of the progression of a stronger cold pool
    from intense storm over the central NE Panhandle interacting with
    relatively weaker cold pool ahead of it. Continued progression of
    the cold pool as well as better moisture with eastern extent will
    likely result in a more southeasterly motion of the entire
    convective line, taking it into northwest KS by around 07Z. Current
    trends suggest the threat for severe wind gusts will likely continue
    for at least the next hour or two, with some potential for it to
    last further into the night. Convective trends are being monitored
    closely for potential watch issuance.

    ..Mosier/Grams.. 07/17/2018

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD...BOU...CYS...

    LAT...LON 40590350 41040356 41320310 41350225 41450156 41740110
    42060037 41849966 39699959 39400142 39750268 40590350



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