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ACUS11 KWNS 130234
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 130233
SDZ000-NEZ000-130300-

Mesoscale Discussion 1048
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0933 PM CDT Thu Jul 12 2018

Areas affected...Portions of northeastern NE and southeastern SD

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 273...

Valid 130233Z - 130300Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 273
continues.

SUMMARY...The severe threat will continue to diminish this evening,
and WW 273 will be allowed to expire as scheduled at 03Z.

DISCUSSION...Ongoing convection across remaining valid portions of
WW 273 is generally displaced to the north of a surface front. While
a very isolated strong/gusty wind threat cannot be completely ruled
out for the remainder of this evening, the increasingly elevated
nature of these thunderstorms suggest the overall severe risk has
diminished. These training cells suggest more of a flash flooding
threat. For more information on the potential for flash flooding,
see Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 441 from the Weather
Prediction Center.

..Gleason.. 07/13/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...LBF...

LAT...LON 42149957 42679959 43449868 43729669 42739673 42119832
42149957



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