1. Forum
  2. Fidonet Message
  3. WEATHER

  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1034

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, July 10, 2018 20:23:02
    This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

    ------------=_1531254188-38885-9355
    Content-Type: text/plain

    ACUS11 KWNS 102022
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 102022
    NHZ000-MAZ000-VTZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-102245-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1034
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0322 PM CDT Tue Jul 10 2018

    Areas affected...East-central New York...central New England

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

    Valid 102022Z - 102245Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...Isolated severe possible with scattered storms developing
    across the area. Marginally severe hail and wind gusts are the main
    threats. A WW issuance is not expected at this time.

    DISCUSSION...Scattered storms continue to develop well ahead of a
    cold front in a broadly confluent low-level airmass across a large
    portion of New England this afternoon, with additional storm
    development possible within the next few hours. Storms will likely
    persist through the rest of the afternoon in association with
    maximum diurnal heating and associated buoyancy (MLCAPE of around
    1000 J/kg).

    The ambient kinematic environment is characterized by deep layer
    unidirectional flow, with appreciable speed shear contributing to
    bulk effective shear values of 30-40 knots. A few of the stronger
    storms may become organized enough to pose a threat for isolated,
    marginally severe hail and wind gusts through the remainder of the
    diurnal heating cycle. The sparse nature of the severe threat
    suggests that a WW issuance is not warranted at this time.

    ..Squitieri/Thompson.. 07/10/2018

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...ALY...BGM...

    LAT...LON 42107525 42597544 43357532 43697503 43927436 44017329
    43957232 43607133 43187104 42807135 42627157 42227202
    42047272 41927352 42107525



    ------------=_1531254188-38885-9355
    Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII"
    Content-Disposition: inline
    Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT

    = = =
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. ------------=_1531254188-38885-9355--

    --- SBBSecho 3.05-Linux
    * Origin: Capitol City Online - capitolcityonline.net (1:2320/105)