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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0793

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tuesday, June 19, 2018 19:55:06
    This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

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    ACUS11 KWNS 191955
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 191954
    NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-WYZ000-192200-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0793
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0254 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

    Areas affected...Eastern Colorado

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 191...

    Valid 191954Z - 192200Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 191 continues.

    SUMMARY...Severe weather threat continues across Tornado Watch 191.

    DISCUSSION...Severe and tornado warned storms continue across the
    northern half of the watch. The storms have strengthened into
    supercells and should remain discrete in the coming hours.
    Three-inch hail has already been reported in Arapahoe County, and
    the severe hail/wind and tornado risk will continue into this
    evening. Latest HRRR/RAP guidance indicates the storms will
    eventually merge and form a MCS this evening across far eastern
    Colorado, western Kansas, and southwestern Nebraska. Some storms
    could redevelop behind these initial storms along the northern Front
    Range.

    Farther south, the cumulus field has struggled to build, but
    confidence remains that a discrete storm or two will form along the
    southern Front Range and move eastward. There is good potential for
    these storms to develop into discrete supercells capable of
    producing large hail, damaging winds, and a tornado. Additionally, a
    new storm has just formed in far southeast Colorado near the surface
    front.

    ..Nauslar/Peters.. 06/19/2018

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LBF...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...ABQ...

    LAT...LON 41010620 40410575 39950567 39870538 39230540 38810532
    38630515 38050506 37890553 37630550 37600524 37260518
    36960499 37010203 40990203 40970536 41010620



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