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ACUS11 KWNS 191955
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 191954
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-WYZ000-192200-
Mesoscale Discussion 0793
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0254 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018
Areas affected...Eastern Colorado
Concerning...Tornado Watch 191...
Valid 191954Z - 192200Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 191 continues.
SUMMARY...Severe weather threat continues across Tornado Watch 191.
DISCUSSION...Severe and tornado warned storms continue across the
northern half of the watch. The storms have strengthened into
supercells and should remain discrete in the coming hours.
Three-inch hail has already been reported in Arapahoe County, and
the severe hail/wind and tornado risk will continue into this
evening. Latest HRRR/RAP guidance indicates the storms will
eventually merge and form a MCS this evening across far eastern
Colorado, western Kansas, and southwestern Nebraska. Some storms
could redevelop behind these initial storms along the northern Front
Range.
Farther south, the cumulus field has struggled to build, but
confidence remains that a discrete storm or two will form along the
southern Front Range and move eastward. There is good potential for
these storms to develop into discrete supercells capable of
producing large hail, damaging winds, and a tornado. Additionally, a
new storm has just formed in far southeast Colorado near the surface
front.
..Nauslar/Peters.. 06/19/2018
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LBF...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...ABQ...
LAT...LON 41010620 40410575 39950567 39870538 39230540 38810532
38630515 38050506 37890553 37630550 37600524 37260518
36960499 37010203 40990203 40970536 41010620
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