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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0747

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Friday, June 15, 2018 23:01:20
    This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

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    ACUS11 KWNS 152301
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 152301
    WIZ000-160030-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0747
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0601 PM CDT Fri Jun 15 2018

    Areas affected...West-central Wisconsin

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

    Valid 152301Z - 160030Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

    SUMMARY...At least an isolated severe risk will exist across western
    into central Wisconsin. The overall scope/extent of the severe risk
    remains a bit questionable, thus the need for a watch remains
    unclear. Even so, a semi-focused severe potential will exist for
    damaging winds, marginal severe hail and perhaps even a brief
    tornado especially across west-central Wisconsin areas near and west
    of I-94.

    DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms moving from southeast Minnesota
    into west-central Wisconsin (to the north of I-90) have shown signs
    of increased organization and intensity over the past 30 minutes or
    so. These storms are in a relatively unstable environment, and over
    the next hour or so (through at least 7pm CDT or 00Z), will
    interact will a northwest/southeast-oriented outflow boundary that
    continues to modify as it parallels along and just west of I-94. A
    somewhat focused severe risk will likely exist within this corridor,
    with some potential for damaging winds and hail and perhaps even a
    tornado.

    ..Guyer.. 06/15/2018

    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...GRB...MKX...ARX...

    LAT...LON 44169168 44559148 44479064 44258982 43438994 44169168



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